Lean FIRE targets a smaller, minimalist retirement budget — so the number is smaller and the date comes sooner. See yours, and the odds it lasts, updating as you type.
Your Lean FIRE number
$750,000
$30,000/yr ÷ 4%
Earliest you can retire
Age 46
≈ 2036 · in ~10 yrs
Money lasts to 95
84%
of 1,000 simulations
1,000 simulated futures · 7% real return, 15% volatility · drawn down to age 95
Not financial advice — a projection from your own assumptions.
Lean FIRE is financial independence on a deliberately modest budget — the retirement equivalent of a minimalist lifestyle. Instead of assuming a typical American household's spending, a lean planner keeps costs low (a paid-off home, simple food, limited travel) so the portfolio it takes to cover them is smaller too. Because a FIRE number is just spending capitalized at a withdrawal rate, cutting the spending cuts the number directly — often by a third or more.
The same formula every FIRE calculator uses, just with a smaller spending figure:
lean FIRE number = lean annual spending ÷ safe withdrawal rate
Worked example: $30,000 a year of lean spending at a 4% withdrawal rate needs $30,000 ÷ 4% = $750,000 — versus $1,250,000 for a $50,000/yr standard plan. Every formula is on the methodology page.
Lean and Fat FIRE are the two ends of the same spectrum — the exact same formula, applied to a smaller or bigger spending figure. Lean FIRE trades comfort for an earlier date; Fat FIRE trades a longer wait for a richer retirement. If a no-compromise budget is more your speed, the Fat FIRE calculator runs the same math the other direction, and the full FIRE calculator uses a typical middle-of-the-road spending figure.
Beyond a one-time estimate
Save the plan and your number, your date, and the odds re-check themselves against your real accounts — free.
Runs on your real money
Link a brokerage with Plaid or drop in a CSV, and this exact chart tracks your actual balances — updating as markets move and you invest. No more re-typing estimates.
Tells you if you’re on track
Your Readiness score re-runs this Monte Carlo on your real net worth and answers what matters: on track for your age, will it last, is your emergency fund covered.
Your whole net worth, in one place
Investments, cash, property and debts together — with a savings rate pulled from your real deposits and your dividend income counted. All free.
Same math here and inside — every formula is hand-checkable on the methodology page.
More free calculators
Weighing up the options? See how the best FIRE calculators compare.
A lean number still moves with the market.
Link your brokerage or drop in a CSV, and Fire Horizon re-checks whether your lean plan is still on track on your real balances — every day, for free.
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